Bruce Bueno de Mesquita: Three predictions on the future of Iran, and the math to back it up
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada ... After a crisp explanation of how he does it, he offers three predictions on the future of Iran.
http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/bruce.....uture.html
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